PREFIX rdf: PREFIX rdfs: PREFIX skos: PREFIX owl: PREFIX xsd: PREFIX dcterms: PREFIX dcat: PREFIX dcmitype: PREFIX foaf: PREFIX geo: PREFIX vcard: PREFIX prov: PREFIX odrs: PREFIX sosa: PREFIX sdo: PREFIX ef: PREFIX doo: PREFIX adms: PREFIX : :ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 dcterms:title "Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora pinifolia infection of Caledonian Pinewood Inventory fragments in Scotland" ; dcterms:identifier "https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872","https://doi.org/10.5285/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872" ; dcterms:bibliographicCitation "Barwell, L.J., Turvey, K., Amankwaa, G., Asaaga, F., Cooke, D.E.L., Mitchell, R., Purse, B.V. (2025). Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora pinifolia infection of Caledonian Pinewood Inventory fragments in Scotland. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872" ; dcterms:description "This dataset maps the potential vulnerability to Phytophthora pinifolia infection for 82 core fragments of the Caledonian Pinewood Inventory (CPI) in Scotland. Fragment risk scores integrate climate suitability for pathogen growth, proximity to other pine fragments and inspected premises and recent planting under forestry grant schemes. Data and models used to assess risks are variable in their time frames, but are broadly representative of the period from 2013 to 2023. The risk maps for Caledonian Pine assess the vulnerability of CPI fragments, if P. pinifolia were to arrive, and the most probable areas of introduction and establishment. P. pinifolia has not been detected in the UK but is on the UK Plant Health Risk Register. All known host species are within the genus Pinus, either recorded as naturally occurring disease affecting the shoots and needles of Pinus radiata, or established through pathogenicity trials on other species within the genus, albeit with varying levels of susceptibility. The only known source region for the pathogen is Chile. P. pinifolia has been ranked 8th among Phytophthora species mostly likely to arrive among the 109 Phytophthora species assessed, with this higher risk predominantly driven by the model component describing climatic similarity between forest, agricultural and urban habitats in Chile and the UK. A Rapid Pest Risk Analysis for P. pinifolia considered it unlikely to enter the UK due to restrictions on import of living pine species from non-EU countries, though transport may still be possible with other, unknown, hosts." ; dcterms:provenance [ a dcterms:ProvenanceStatement ; rdfs:label "We employed an iterative and collaborative co-production process that brought together stakeholders with diverse expertise from across Scotland's plant health sector including forestry, conservation, horticulture, and government agencies. Risk factors and their scoring were agreed with 15 cross-sectoral stakeholders through a self-completion survey and two workshops. Overall risk scores integrate climate suitability (using pathogen-specific temperature-dependent growth curves and relative humidity thresholds), with proximity to other pine fragments, inspected premises and planting under forestry grant schemes. As agreed in the first workshop, climate suitability was given the greatest weight in the scoring of the risk factors. Due to the absence of any P. pinifolia detections in the UK, the spatial risk frameworks exclude proximity to infected areas. The final report was peer reviewed by the Plant Health Centre. In addition, a knowledge integration and validation workshop (November 13, 2024) examined the adequacy of the outputs for horizon scanning and decision-making across sectors. Validation of pathogen-specific climate suitability models has been attempted for other Phytophthora species using independent UK and European detections, but is not possible for P. pinifolia as the pathogen has not been detected in Europe." ] ; dcterms:spatial [ a dcterms:Location ; dcat:bbox "POLYGON((-8.648 54.634, -8.648 60.861, -0.728 60.861, -0.728 54.634, -8.648 54.634))"^^geo:wktLiteral ; ] ; dcterms:temporal [ a dcterms:PeriodOfTime ; dcat:startDate "2013-01-01"^^xsd:date ; dcat:endDate "2023-12-31"^^xsd:date ; ] ; dcat:contactPoint :ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872_c0 ; dcterms:publisher ; dcterms:relation , , ; dcterms:isReferencedBy ; dcterms:subject "Scotland", , , , , , , , ; prov:wasGeneratedBy ; a dcat:Dataset; dcterms:type dcmitype:Dataset ; dcterms:available "2025-10-22"^^xsd:date ; dcat:landingPage , ; dcterms:license ; dcterms:accessRights ; dcterms:theme ; dcat:distribution [ dcat:accessURL ; dcterms:license ; dcterms:accessRights ; dcterms:format [ a dcterms:IMT ; rdf:value "TIFF" ; rdfs:label "TIFF" ] , [ a dcterms:IMT ; rdf:value "GeoPackage" ; rdfs:label "GeoPackage" ] ; ]; dcterms:creator , , , , , , ; dcterms:language . :ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872_c0 a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Louise Barwell" ; vcard:hasEmail "enquiries@ceh.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Organization ; foaf:name "NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre" ; vcard:hasEmail "info@eidc.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Barwell, L.J." ; foaf:familyName "Barwell" ; foaf:givenName "L.J." ; vcard:hasEmail "enquiries@ceh.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Turvey, K." ; foaf:familyName "Turvey" ; foaf:givenName "K." ; vcard:hasEmail "enquiries@ceh.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Amankwaa, G." ; foaf:familyName "Amankwaa" ; foaf:givenName "G." ; vcard:hasEmail "enquiries@ceh.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Asaaga, F." ; foaf:familyName "Asaaga" ; foaf:givenName "F." ; vcard:hasEmail "enquiries@ceh.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Cooke, D.E.L." ; foaf:familyName "Cooke" ; foaf:givenName "D.E.L." ; vcard:hasEmail "david.cooke@hutton.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Mitchell, R." ; foaf:familyName "Mitchell" ; foaf:givenName "R." ; vcard:hasEmail "ruth.mitchell@hutton.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a foaf:Person ; foaf:name "Purse, B.V." ; foaf:familyName "Purse" ; foaf:givenName "B.V." ; vcard:hasEmail "enquiries@ceh.ac.uk" ; foaf:member ; . a ; dcterms:bibliographicCitation "Barwell, L.J., Amankwaa, G., Asaaga, F., Turvey, K., Cooke, D., Mitchell, R., & Purse, B. (2026). Improved preparedness for Phytophthora prevention in Scotland. Zenodo"; . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "Environmental risk"; rdfs:label "Environmental risk" . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "exotic species"; rdfs:label "exotic species" . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "forest pest"; rdfs:label "forest pest" . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "forestry"; rdfs:label "forestry" . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "habitat"; rdfs:label "habitat" . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "pathogenic organism"; rdfs:label "pathogenic organism" . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "phytopathology"; rdfs:label "phytopathology" . a skos:Concept; skos:prefLabel "risk assessment"; rdfs:label "risk assessment" . a foaf:Organization ; foaf:name "UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology" . a foaf:Organization ; foaf:name "James Hutton Institute" . a prov:Activity ; rdfs:label "Learning to adapt to an uncertain future: linking genes, trees, people and processes for more resilient treescapes (newLEAF)" .