Scenario narratives for UK versions of the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) - 2020 to 2100

The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) describe a set of alternative plausible trajectories of societal development, which are based on hypotheses about which societal elements are the most important determinants of challenges to climate change mitigation and adaptation. UK versions of the SSPs were developed through a participatory process involving stakeholder workshops, interviews and questionnaires to spatially, temporally and sectorally extend global and European versions of the SSPs. Working with partners from Cambridge Econometrics, University of Edinburgh and University of Exeter through co-funding from the Met Office as part of the UK Climate Resilience Programme, four UK-SSP products are available up to 2100: (i) narratives of socio-economic developments for the UK and four UK nations; (ii) system diagrams that visualise the interrelationships between socio-economic drivers within each SSP; (iii) tables of semi-quantitative trends in 50 key socio-economic variables; and (iv) spatially-explicit quantitative projections for key socio-economic variables.

This work was supported by the Natural Environment Research Council award number NE/R016429/1 as part of the UK-SCAPE programme delivering National Capability.