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The patterns are a set of regression coefficients, each representing the change per degree of mean global warming over land, for the corresponding meteorological variable. The meteorological variables analysed for each GCM include: surface temperature change per degree global warming (K K-1); surface relative humidity change per degree global warming (percentage of K-1); wind change per degree global warming (m s-1 K-1); longwave change per degree global warming (W m-2 K 1); shortwave change per degree global warming (W m-2 K-1); precipitation change per degree global warming (mm day-1 K-1) and pressure change per degree global warming (hPa K-1).\n\nThe supporting information document associated with this metadata includes parameters for an energy balance model (IMOGEN EBM) that calculates the amount of global warming. Each GCM output has been re-mapped on to UKMO-HadCM3 grid, with resolution of 3.75° longitude and 2.5° latitude; this produces a surface spatial resolution of about 417 km E-W x 278 km N-S, reducing to 295 km E-W x 278 km N-S at 45° North and South. This corresponds to 1631 land points, each of which has a row in the provided data files.\n\nThe data presented here is calibration of IMOGEN EBM parameters and patterns against 34 GCMs in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) GCM ensemble.\n\nFurther information about the dataset and its derivation can be found in Comyn-Platt, E. et al. (2018). 'Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks'. Nature Geoscience. http://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9","distributionFormats":[{"name":"Plain text","type":"text/plain","version":"unknown"}],"distributorContacts":[{"organisationName":"NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre","organisationIdentifier":"https://ror.org/04xw4m193","role":"distributor","email":"info@eidc.ac.uk"}],"id":"343885af-0f5e-4062-88e1-a9e612f77779","incomingCitationCount":1,"incomingCitations":[{"description":"Hayman, G.D., Comyn-Platt, E., Huntingford, C., Harper, A.B., Powell, T., Cox, P.M., Collins, W., Webber, C., Lowe, J., Sitch, S., House, J.I., Doelman, J. C., van Vuuren, D.P., Chadburn, S.E., Burke, E., & Gedney, N. (2021). Regional variation in the effectiveness of methane-based and land-based climate mitigation options. In Earth System Dynamics (Vol. 12, Issue 2, pp. 513-544). Copernicus GmbH.","url":"https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-513-2021"}],"infoLinks":[{"url":"https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/sd/343885af-0f5e-4062-88e1-a9e612f77779.zip","name":"Supporting information","description":"Supporting information available to assist in re-use of this dataset","function":"information","type":"OTHER"}],"inspireThemes":[{"theme":"Atmospheric Conditions","uri":"http://inspire.ec.europa.eu/theme/ac"},{"theme":"Meteorological geographical features","uri":"http://inspire.ec.europa.eu/theme/mf"}],"keywordsOther":[{"value":"Global Circulation Model (GCM)"},{"value":"Global climate-carbon cycle model "},{"value":"Future climate projections "},{"value":"Energy Balance Model"},{"value":"EBM"},{"value":"Integrated Model Of Global Effects of climatic aNomalies (IMOGEN)"},{"value":"energy balance","uri":"http://www.eionet.europa.eu/gemet/concept/2713"},{"value":"climate","uri":"http://www.eionet.europa.eu/gemet/concept/1462"},{"value":"global model","uri":"http://www.eionet.europa.eu/gemet/concept/3690"},{"value":"carbon cycle","uri":"http://www.eionet.europa.eu/gemet/concept/1164"},{"value":"CMIP5 "}],"keywordsTheme":[{"value":"Modelling","uri":"http://onto.nerc.ac.uk/CEHMD/topic/13"},{"value":"Climate and climate change","uri":"http://onto.nerc.ac.uk/CEHMD/topic/4"}],"licences":[{"value":"This resource is made available under the terms of the Open Government Licence","code":"license","uri":"https://eidc.ac.uk/licences/ogl/plain"}],"lineage":"The pattern-scaling set is derived from 34 global circulation models (GCM) of the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP's) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) multi-model dataset. For each GCM emulated, regression is performed for each meteorological variable, each month and each grid box against global mean warming over land. \n\nThe calibration against CMIP5 models has full numerical code documentation, traceability on demand and with scripts utilising open-access software. This meets the ISO standards for numerical model building and is available on request to Chris Huntingford.\n","metadataDate":"2026-06-27T18:51:20","notGEMINI":false,"onlineResources":[{"url":"https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/datastore/eidchub/343885af-0f5e-4062-88e1-a9e612f77779/","name":"Download the data","description":"Download a copy of this data","function":"fileAccess","type":"OTHER"},{"url":"https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/sd/343885af-0f5e-4062-88e1-a9e612f77779.zip","name":"Supporting information","description":"Supporting information available to assist in re-use of this dataset","function":"information","type":"OTHER"}],"pointsOfContact":[{"familyName":"Hayman","givenName":"G.","organisationName":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","organisationIdentifier":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","role":"pointOfContact","email":"enquiries@ceh.ac.uk","address":{"deliveryPoint":"Maclean Building, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford","city":"Wallingford","administrativeArea":"Oxfordshire","postalCode":"OX10 8BB","country":"United Kingdom"},"fullName":"Hayman, G.","pointOfContact":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology"}],"publicationDate":"2018-06-26T00:00:00.000Z","publishers":[{"organisationName":"NERC Environmental Information Data Centre","organisationIdentifier":"https://ror.org/04xw4m193","role":"publisher","email":"info@eidc.ac.uk"}],"resourceIdentifiers":[{"code":"https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/343885af-0f5e-4062-88e1-a9e612f77779"},{"code":"10.5285/343885af-0f5e-4062-88e1-a9e612f77779","codeSpace":"doi"}],"resourceType":{"value":"dataset"},"responsibleParties":[{"familyName":"Hayman","givenName":"G.","organisationName":"UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","organisationIdentifier":"https://ror.org/00pggkr55","role":"pointOfContact","email":"enquiries@ceh.ac.uk","address":{"deliveryPoint":"Maclean Building, Benson Lane, Crowmarsh 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E., Burke, E. J., Harper, A. B., … Sitch, S. (2018). Carbon budgets for 1.5 and 2 °C targets lowered by natural wetland and permafrost feedbacks. Nature Geoscience, 11(8), 568–573.","url":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0174-9","function":"relatedArticle"}],"title":"CMIP5 GCM-based monthly patterns of local meteorological change, per degree of mean land warming, for driving the IMOGEN impacts model","topicCategories":[{"value":"climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere","uri":"http://inspire.ec.europa.eu/metadata-codelist/TopicCategory/climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere"}],"topics":["http://onto.nerc.ac.uk/CEHMD/topic/13","http://onto.nerc.ac.uk/CEHMD/topic/4"],"type":"dataset","uri":"https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/343885af-0f5e-4062-88e1-a9e612f77779","useConstraints":[{"value":"This resource is made available under the terms of the Open Government Licence","code":"license","uri":"https://eidc.ac.uk/licences/ogl/plain"},{"value":"© UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology","code":"copyright"}]}