Soterroni, A.C.; Império, M.; Scarabello, M.C.; Seddon, N.; Obersteiner, M.; Rochedo, P.R.R.; Schaeffer, R.
Land-use change and emissions projections for Brazil (2020-2050) from net-zero pathway scenarios
https://doi.org/10.5285/5a778ab8-1521-4ea6-b6d0-66b8c307e34b
Cite this dataset as:
Soterroni, A.C.; Império, M.; Scarabello, M.C.; Seddon, N.; Obersteiner, M.; Rochedo, P.R.R.; Schaeffer, R. (2026). Land-use change and emissions projections for Brazil (2020-2050) from net-zero pathway scenarios. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/5a778ab8-1521-4ea6-b6d0-66b8c307e34b
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This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence
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This dataset contains scenario-based projections of land use, greenhouse gas emissions and energy system indicators for Brazil. The variables include land-use change, agricultural production, commodity prices, cattle herd size, carbon capture, biofuel production, primary energy supply and sectoral greenhouse gas emissions, expressed in MtCO2e/yr. The data were generated to support research and policy analysis of land-use dynamics, agricultural systems, energy transitions and climate mitigation in Brazil. The projections cover the period from 2020 to 2050 and are reported at five-year intervals. The data cover the entire national territory of Brazil. Spatially explicit land-use outputs are provided using GLOBIOM-Brazil ColRow grid identifiers, while energy and emissions outputs are reported at the national scale.
The projections were generated using a regional soft-linked integrated assessment modelling framework, combining the GLOBIOM-Brazil (Global Biosphere Management model for Brazil) land-use model and the BLUES (Brazilian Land Use and Energy System) energy-focused integrated assessment model. The dataset includes outputs for a baseline scenario and multiple mitigation pathways designed to achieve net-zero emissions in Brazil by 2050. It enables comparison of alternative development and mitigation pathways and provides the underlying data used to assess interactions between land, energy and greenhouse gas emissions.
The projections were generated using a regional soft-linked integrated assessment modelling framework, combining the GLOBIOM-Brazil (Global Biosphere Management model for Brazil) land-use model and the BLUES (Brazilian Land Use and Energy System) energy-focused integrated assessment model. The dataset includes outputs for a baseline scenario and multiple mitigation pathways designed to achieve net-zero emissions in Brazil by 2050. It enables comparison of alternative development and mitigation pathways and provides the underlying data used to assess interactions between land, energy and greenhouse gas emissions.
Publication date: 2026-07-09
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Format
Comma-separated values (CSV)
Spatial information
Study area
Spatial representation type
Tabular (text)
Spatial reference system
WGS 84
Temporal information
Temporal extent
2020-01-01 to 2050-12-31
Provenance & quality
The dataset was generated using the GLOBIOM-Brazil and BLUES models within a soft-linked integrated assessment modelling framework. Simulations were conducted for a baseline scenario and multiple mitigation scenarios for Brazil from 2020 to 2050, with outputs produced at five-year intervals. Model outputs were processed and formatted into tabular datasets, including spatially explicit land-use projections and national-scale emissions, energy and agricultural indicators. Quality assurance included checks of data completeness, internal consistency, units, temporal coverage and scenario definitions. Historical land-use and emissions outputs were compared against official statistics during model development, and archived outputs were cross-checked against the figures, tables and supplementary results reported in Soterroni et al. (2023). The deposited files represent the final processed outputs used in the published analyses.
Licensing and constraints
This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence
Cite this dataset as:
Soterroni, A.C.; Império, M.; Scarabello, M.C.; Seddon, N.; Obersteiner, M.; Rochedo, P.R.R.; Schaeffer, R. (2026). Land-use change and emissions projections for Brazil (2020-2050) from net-zero pathway scenarios. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/5a778ab8-1521-4ea6-b6d0-66b8c307e34b
Correspondence/contact details
Authors
Other contacts
Publisher
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
info@eidc.ac.uk
Rights holder
University of Oxford
Custodian
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
info@eidc.ac.uk
Additional metadata
Keywords
Funding
Natural Environment Research Council Award: NE/W004976/1
