Soterroni, A.C.; Império, M.; Scarabello, M.C.; Seddon, N.; Obersteiner, M.; Rochedo, P.R.R.; Schaeffer, R.

Land-use change and emissions projections for Brazil (2020-2050) from net-zero pathway scenarios

https://doi.org/10.5285/5a778ab8-1521-4ea6-b6d0-66b8c307e34b
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This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

By accessing or using this dataset, you agree to the terms of the relevant licence agreement(s). You will ensure that this dataset is cited in any publication that describes research in which the data have been used.

This dataset contains scenario-based projections of land use, greenhouse gas emissions and energy system indicators for Brazil. The variables include land-use change, agricultural production, commodity prices, cattle herd size, carbon capture, biofuel production, primary energy supply and sectoral greenhouse gas emissions, expressed in MtCO2e/yr. The data were generated to support research and policy analysis of land-use dynamics, agricultural systems, energy transitions and climate mitigation in Brazil. The projections cover the period from 2020 to 2050 and are reported at five-year intervals. The data cover the entire national territory of Brazil. Spatially explicit land-use outputs are provided using GLOBIOM-Brazil ColRow grid identifiers, while energy and emissions outputs are reported at the national scale.
The projections were generated using a regional soft-linked integrated assessment modelling framework, combining the GLOBIOM-Brazil (Global Biosphere Management model for Brazil) land-use model and the BLUES (Brazilian Land Use and Energy System) energy-focused integrated assessment model. The dataset includes outputs for a baseline scenario and multiple mitigation pathways designed to achieve net-zero emissions in Brazil by 2050. It enables comparison of alternative development and mitigation pathways and provides the underlying data used to assess interactions between land, energy and greenhouse gas emissions.
Publication date: 2026-07-09

Format

Comma-separated values (CSV)

Spatial information

Study area
Spatial representation type
Tabular (text)
Spatial reference system
WGS 84

Temporal information

Temporal extent
2020-01-01    to    2050-12-31

Provenance & quality

The dataset was generated using the GLOBIOM-Brazil and BLUES models within a soft-linked integrated assessment modelling framework. Simulations were conducted for a baseline scenario and multiple mitigation scenarios for Brazil from 2020 to 2050, with outputs produced at five-year intervals. Model outputs were processed and formatted into tabular datasets, including spatially explicit land-use projections and national-scale emissions, energy and agricultural indicators. Quality assurance included checks of data completeness, internal consistency, units, temporal coverage and scenario definitions. Historical land-use and emissions outputs were compared against official statistics during model development, and archived outputs were cross-checked against the figures, tables and supplementary results reported in Soterroni et al. (2023). The deposited files represent the final processed outputs used in the published analyses.

Licensing and constraints

This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

Cite this dataset as:
Soterroni, A.C.; Império, M.; Scarabello, M.C.; Seddon, N.; Obersteiner, M.; Rochedo, P.R.R.; Schaeffer, R. (2026). Land-use change and emissions projections for Brazil (2020-2050) from net-zero pathway scenarios. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/5a778ab8-1521-4ea6-b6d0-66b8c307e34b

Correspondence/contact details

Soterroni, A.
University of Oxford
 aline.soterroni@biology.ox.ac.uk

Authors

Soterroni, A.C.
University of Oxford
Império, M.
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro
Scarabello, M.C.
Universidade de São Paulo
Seddon, N.
University of Oxford
Obersteiner, M.
University of Oxford
Rochedo, P.R.R.
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro
Schaeffer, R.
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro

Other contacts

Publisher
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk
Rights holder
University of Oxford
Custodian
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk

Additional metadata

Topic categories
environment
Keywords
Agriculture , Climate and climate change , climate change , climate change mitigation , deforestation , environmental target , greenhouse gas emissions , land use , Land use , Modelling , nature-based solution
Funding
Natural Environment Research Council Award: NE/W004976/1