Projected national-level climate change impacts on terrestrial mammals and birds, and projected global transboundary range shifts by 2070
This dataset is derived from modelled changes to the distributions of >12,700 terrestrial mammal and bird species under four different climate scenarios, projected to 2070. It contains national-level projections of species richness change under each climate scenario, based on species' modelled climatic niches, as well as projected range shifts in relation to political borders globally.
Publication date: 2021-01-22
- Study area
- Temporal extent
2018-01-01 to 2070-12-31
Provenance & quality
Data were generated using ensemble Species Distribution Models, trained on five climatic predictor variables and projected using future climate data from three general circulation models. Species distributions were modelled at a half-degree resolution. We followed best-practice guidelines for creating the models, and validated the projections using ten-fold cross validation with present climate data. These methods have been peer-reviewed and are widely used. Data were checked for errors before publication. See supporting documentation for more information.