Titley, M.A. ; Willis, S.G.

Projected national-level climate change impacts on terrestrial mammals and birds, and projected global transboundary range shifts by 2070

https://doi.org/10.5285/5bf972a8-c9a3-4721-8089-552dfe3ff124 Cite this dataset
This dataset is derived from modelled changes to the distributions of >12,700 terrestrial mammal and bird species under four different climate scenarios, projected to 2070. It contains national-level projections of species richness change under each climate scenario, based on species' modelled climatic niches, as well as projected range shifts in relation to political borders globally.

Publication date: 2021-01-22

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Supporting documentation

This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

Format of the data: Comma-separated values (CSV)

You must cite: Titley, M.A. ; Willis, S.G. (2021). Projected national-level climate change impacts on terrestrial mammals and birds, and projected global transboundary range shifts by 2070. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/5bf972a8-c9a3-4721-8089-552dfe3ff124

 

Where/When

Study area
Temporal extent
2018-01-01    to    2070-12-31

Provenance & quality

Data were generated using ensemble Species Distribution Models, trained on five climatic predictor variables and projected using future climate data from three general circulation models. Species distributions were modelled at a half-degree resolution. We followed best-practice guidelines for creating the models, and validated the projections using ten-fold cross validation with present climate data. These methods have been peer-reviewed and are widely used. Data were checked for errors before publication. See supporting documentation for more information.

Correspondence/contact details

Mark Titley
Durham University
 mark.a.titley@durham.ac.uk

Authors

Titley, M.A.
Durham University
ORCID iD iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-4170-0535
Willis, S.G.
Durham University
ORCID iD iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8656-5808

Other contacts

Custodian
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk
Publisher
NERC Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk
Rights Holder
Durham University
 library.resources@durham.ac.uk

Additional metadata

Topic categories
Biota
Keywords
biodiversity,  Biodiversity,  climate change,  political borders,  species distribution models
INSPIRE Theme
Environmental Monitoring Facilities
Spatial representation type
Tabular (text)
Spatial reference system
WGS 84 / Pseudo-Mercator
Last updated
25 June 2021 18:38