Cite this dataset as
Titley, M.A. , Willis, S.G. (2021). Projected national-level climate change impacts on terrestrial mammals and birds, and projected global transboundary range shifts by 2070. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre. (Dataset). https://doi.org/10.5285/5bf972a8-c9a3-4721-8089-552dfe3ff124
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This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence 
Projected national-level climate change impacts on terrestrial mammals and birds, and projected global transboundary range shifts by 2070
This dataset is derived from modelled changes to the distributions of >12,700 terrestrial mammal and bird species under four different climate scenarios, projected to 2070. It contains national-level projections of species richness change under each climate scenario, based on species' modelled climatic niches, as well as projected range shifts in relation to political borders globally.
Publication date: 2021-01-22
View record as
Format
Comma-separated values (CSV)
Spatial information
- Study area
-
- Spatial representation type
- Tabular (text)
- Spatial reference system
- WGS 84 / Pseudo-Mercator
Temporal information
- Temporal extent
-
2018-01-01 to 2070-12-31
Provenance & quality
Data were generated using ensemble Species Distribution Models, trained on five climatic predictor variables and projected using future climate data from three general circulation models. Species distributions were modelled at a half-degree resolution. We followed best-practice guidelines for creating the models, and validated the projections using ten-fold cross validation with present climate data. These methods have been peer-reviewed and are widely used. Data were checked for errors before publication. See supporting documentation for more information.
Citations
Titley, M.A., Butchart, S.H.M., Jones, V.R., Whittingham, M.J., & Willis, S.G. (2021). Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(7) https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2011204118
Correspondence/contact details
Authors
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4170-0535 Other contacts
- Rights holder
-
Durham University
- Custodian
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NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centreinfo@eidc.ac.uk
- Publisher
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NERC Environmental Information Data Centreinfo@eidc.ac.uk