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Barwell, L.; Turvey, K.; Amankaa, G.; Asaaga, F.; Cooke, D.E.L.; Mitchell, R.; Purse, B.V.

Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora x alni infection of alder fragments in Scotland

https://doi.org/10.5285/824f9ba8-7d1c-4a82-b5ec-a4f850f1d370
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This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

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This dataset scores the relative risks of Phytophthora x alni infection for 50034 fragments in Scotland identified as containing any of the three alder species susceptible to the pathogen (common alder, Italian alder and grey alder). Fragment risk scores integrate climate suitability (using pathogen-specific temperature-dependent growth curves and a relative humidity threshold), proximity to rivers/flooding, connectivity to other alder fragments via flood events and recent planting of alder under forestry grant schemes. Data and models used to score risk factors are variable in their time frames, but are broadly representative of the period from 2013 to 2023. Phytophthora disease of alder has been widespread in southern England since at least 1995 and became more prevalent in annual surveys between 1994 and 2003. It has been confirmed at several riparian sites in Scotland. P. x alni diseases are reported only from the alder genus.
Publication date: 2025-10-08
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More information

View numbers valid from 08 October 2025 Download numbers valid from 08 October 2025 (information prior to this was not collected)

Formats

TIFF, geopackage

Spatial information

Study area
Spatial representation types
Raster
Vector
Spatial reference system
OSGB 1936 / British National Grid

Temporal information

Temporal extent
2013-01-01    to    2023-12-31

Provenance & quality

We employed an iterative and collaborative co-production process that brought together stakeholders with diverse expertise from across Scotland's plant health sector representing forestry, conservation, horticulture, and government agencies through a semi-structured process of survey and workshops. Fragments containing alder species were extracted from the National Forest Estate Sub-compartments 2019, Native Woodland Survey of Scotland and global database of host-Phytophthora detections, removing any felled areas since 2013 using the National Forest Inventory. Key risk factors (climate suitability, proximity to rivers/flooding, connectivity to other alder fragments via flood events and recent planting of alder) and their scoring were agreed with 15 cross-sectoral stakeholders through a self-completion survey and two workshops. The final report was peer reviewed by the Plant Health Centre. In addition, a knowledge integration and validation workshop (November 13, 2024) examined the adequacy of the outputs for horizon scanning and decision-making across sectors. Validation of the climate suitability models has been attempted using independent UK and European detections of Phytophthora x alni.

Licensing and constraints

This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

Cite this dataset as:
Barwell, L.; Turvey, K.; Amankaa, G.; Asaaga, F.; Cooke, D.E.L.; Mitchell, R.; Purse, B.V. (2025). Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora x alni infection of alder fragments in Scotland. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/824f9ba8-7d1c-4a82-b5ec-a4f850f1d370

Correspondence/contact details

Louise Barwell
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
 enquiries@ceh.ac.uk

Authors

Barwell, L.
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Turvey, K.
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Amankaa, G.
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Asaaga, F.
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Cooke, D.E.L.
James Hutton Institute
Mitchell, R.
James Hutton Institute
Purse, B.V.
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

Other contacts

Rights holder
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Custodian
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk
Publisher
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
 info@eidc.ac.uk

Additional metadata

Topic categories
environment
INSPIRE theme
Habitats and Biotopes
Keywords
biodiversity , Environmental risk , Environmental survey , exotic species , forest , forestry , habitat , pathogenic organism , pest , phytopathology , risk assessment , Scotland
Funding
Natural Environment Research Council Award: NE/V019813/1
Scotland's Plant Health Centre Award: PHC2023/02
Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs Award: TH12224FR10