Byers, E.A.; Leathard, A.; O'Donnell, G.M.; Hall, J.W.; Amezaga, J.M.

Hydrological modelling and simulation data for the River Trent at Colwick under climate change

This data contains the time series flow discharge results of hydrological simulation of the River Trent at Colwick using UKCP09 Weather Generator inputs for a variety of time slices and emissions scenarios. The Weather Generator (WG) inputs were run on a hydrological model (Leathard et al., unpublished), calibrated using the observed record 1961-2002. Each simulation is derived from 100 30-year time series of weather at the WG location 4400355 for Control, Low, Medium and High emissions scenarios for the 2020s, 2030s, 2040s, 2050s and 2080s time slices. The datasets include the relevant accompanying input WG data.

Publication date: 2015-06-01

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Supporting documentation

Format of the Dataset : Comma-separated values (CSV)

Access and use conditions

This resource is made available under the terms of the Open Government Licence

You must cite: Byers, E.A.; Leathard, A.; O'Donnell, G.M.; Hall, J.W.; Amezaga, J.M. (2015). Hydrological modelling and simulation data for the River Trent at Colwick under climate change. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre.



Study area
Temporal extent
…    to    2014-11-28


The 8-parameter model is based on the Ph.D work of Alex Leathard (unpublished) at Newcastle University. The model was set up and calibrated with data at Colwick on Trent (station 28009) from the period 1961-2002 using daily observed gauge data from CEH. Structural uncertainty and model calibration was performed by simulating 10,000 parameterisations selected by Latin hypercube sampling. Performance was evaluated using a 4-metric ranking comprising: the log transform flows of Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, and absolute difference between observed and simulated from the Q90, Q95, and Q99 percentile flows. This was done primarily to ensure good performance at low flows. Goodness-of-fit was also assessed at various periods of the historical record, including the drought of 1975-1976. The Model was run with outputs from the UKCP09 Weather Generator, by inputting 30-year time series for: 3 emsissions scenarios; time slices of Control, 2020s, 2030s, 2040s, 2050s, 2080s; 100 samples of each combination.


Byers, E.A.
Newcastle University
Leathard, A.
Newcastle University
O'Donnell, G.M.
Newcastle University
Hall, J.W.
University of Oxford
Amezaga, J.M.
Newcastle University

Other contacts

Point Of Contact
Byers, E.A.
Newcastle University
NERC Environmental Information Data Centre
Environmental Information Data Centre
Environmental Information Data Centre
Lancaster Environment Centre, Library Avenue, Bailrigg
United Kingdom


Spatial reference system
WGS 84


Topic categories
Inland Waters
Discipline keywords
climate change
Place keywords
River Trent
Theme keywords

Dataset identifiers



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Byers, E.A
Newcastle University
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