Cite this dataset as
Brown, C., Seo, B., Alexander, P., Burton, V., Chacón-Montalván, E.A., Dunford-Brown, R., Merkle, M., Harrison, P.A., Prestele, R., Robinson, E.L., Rounsevell, M (2023). Decadal maps of multiple alternative future land use based on UK Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (UK-SSPs) and climate projections (UK-RCPs). NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. (Dataset). https://doi.org/10.5285/f9ab3051-4f85-415f-b691-371ff8e951f2
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This dataset is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence 
Decadal maps of multiple alternative future land use based on UK Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (UK-SSPs) and climate projections (UK-RCPs)
The data describes future land use projections at 1 km^2 resolution developed by CRAFTY-GB. For each of six Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP-RCP) scenarios, gridded land use maps for Great Britain are provided, each as a stacked raster file with seven bands representing land use at each decadal timestep, from 2020 to 2080.
CRAFTY-GB is a new agent-based model of the British land system operating at a 1 km^2 resolution and based on a broad range of available land system data . The model is based on linked UK-RCP climate scenarios and UK-SSPs socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios, based on global SSPs developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). It extrapolates the impact of these on the British Land system at decadal timesteps from 2020-2080.
CRAFTY-GB is a new agent-based model of the British land system operating at a 1 km^2 resolution and based on a broad range of available land system data . The model is based on linked UK-RCP climate scenarios and UK-SSPs socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios, based on global SSPs developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). It extrapolates the impact of these on the British Land system at decadal timesteps from 2020-2080.
Publication date: 2023-07-26
View record as
Format
TIFF
Spatial information
- Study area
-
- Spatial representation type
- Raster
- Spatial reference system
- OSGB 1936 / British National Grid
Temporal information
- Temporal extent
-
2020-01-01 to 2080-12-31
Provenance & quality
The data was developed as part of research done within the SPEED project under UKSCAPE. It is built upon other work done within the group on UK-specific Climate Change and Socio-ecological scenarios. These scenarios were then used to generate different parameters and inputs to an Agent-based model which explored how these would impact the development of Great Britain’s Land-use system.
The application of the model to Great Britain was evaluated through sensitivity analyses as the model was developed, consultations with experts and stakeholders, and finally comparison to existing relevant literature on UK land use projections. The baseline allocation of agent types was compared against three (semi-)independent datasets to check its coverage and interpretation with respect to agricultural and ecological characteristics (see SI for details).
The application of the model to Great Britain was evaluated through sensitivity analyses as the model was developed, consultations with experts and stakeholders, and finally comparison to existing relevant literature on UK land use projections. The baseline allocation of agent types was compared against three (semi-)independent datasets to check its coverage and interpretation with respect to agricultural and ecological characteristics (see SI for details).
Correspondence/contact details
Authors
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9331-1008 Other contacts
- Rights holders
-
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, University of Edinburgh, Forest Research, Lancaster University, Helmholtz Association
- Custodian
-
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centreinfo@eidc.ac.uk
- Publisher
-
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centreinfo@eidc.ac.uk
Additional metadata
- Topic categories
- environment
planningCadastre - INSPIRE theme
- Land Use
- Keywords
- ABM , Agent-based modelling , Climate and climate change , Great Britain , IPCC , Land use , Mapping , RCP , Representative Concentration Pathways , Shared Socioeconomic Pathway , Socio-ecological , SSP , UK-SCAPE
- Funding
- Natural Environment Research Council Award: NE/R016429/1
Helmholtz Association
Met Office - Last updated
- 08 February 2024 17:32
More information about these numbers
View numbers valid from 26 July 2023 Download numbers valid from 20 June 2024 (information prior to this was not collected)