Decadal maps of multiple alternative future land use based on UK Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (UK-SSPs) and climate projections (UK-RCPs)

The data was developed as part of research done within the SPEED project under UKSCAPE. It is built upon other work done within the group on UK-specific Climate Change and Socio-ecological scenarios. These scenarios were then used to generate different parameters and inputs to an Agent-based model which explored how these would impact the development of Great Britain’s Land-use system.

The application of the model to Great Britain was evaluated through sensitivity analyses as the model was developed, consultations with experts and stakeholders, and finally comparison to existing relevant literature on UK land use projections. The baseline allocation of agent types was compared against three (semi-)independent datasets to check its coverage and interpretation with respect to agricultural and ecological characteristics (see SI for details).