Haxton, T. et al

Future flows hydrology data
(FF-HydMod-PPE)

Name: Future flows hydrology data
Published: 2012-04-01
License: https://eidc.ceh.ac.uk/licences/future-flows-click-through/plain

https://doi.org/10.5285/f3723162-4fed-4d9d-92c6-dd17412fa37b Cite this dataset

Future Flows Hydrology (FF-HydMod-PPE) is an 11-member ensemble projections of river flow and groundwater levels time series for 283 catchments and 24 boreholes in Great Britain. It is derived from Future Flows Climate, an 11-member 1-km bias-corrected and downscaled climate projection products based on the SRES A1B emission scenario. River Flows data are at a daily time step: Groundwater Levels data are at a monthly time step. Future Flows Hydrology span from 1951 to 2098. The development of Future Flows Hydrology was made during the partnership project 'Future Flows and Groundwater Levels' funded by the Environment Agency for England and Wales, Defra, UK Water Research Industry, NERC (Centre for Ecology & Hydrology and British Geological Survey) and Wallingford HydroSolutions.

Publication date: 2012-04-01

Format

Comma-separated values (CSV)

Spatial information

Study area
Spatial representation type: Tabular (text)
Spatial reference system: OSGB 1936 / British National Grid

Temporal information

Temporal extent: 1951-01-01 to 2098-12-01

Provenance & quality

An 11-member ensemble of daily river flow and monthly groundwater levels for 283 river catchments and 24 boreholes across Great Britain simulated in March 2012. Future Flows Hydrology time series are generated using conceptual hydrological models driven by Future Flows Climate and span the period 1951-2098. Each ensemble set contains 11 members all equally likely that together accounts for climate variability, climate modelling uncertainty and climate forcing under the SRES A1B emissions scenario. As Future Flows Hydrology datasets are driven by forcing from climate model outputs they do not replicate the historical weather but are possible realisations of river flow and groundwater levels time series. Despite the use of bias-corrected Future Flows Climate as input and local hydrological models Future Flows Hydrology dataset might still contain hydrological and climate modelling errors and cannot be compared directly with gauged values. SC090016/PN5, SC090016/PN6, SC090016/PN7 and SC090016/PN9 project technical notes provide details on the methods used and results.

Citations

Prudhomme,C., Haxton, T., Crooks, S., Jackson, C., Barkwith, A., Williamson, J., Kelvin, J., Mackay, J., Wang, L., Young, A., and Watts, G. (2013). Future Flows Hydrology: and ensemble of a daily river flow and monthly groundwater levels for use for climate change impact assessment across Great Britain. Eath Syst. Sci. Data, 5, 101-107 https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-5-101-2013

Bricker, S. H., Banks, V. J., Galik, G., Tapete, D., & Jones, R. (2017). Accounting for groundwater in future city visions. Land Use Policy, 69, 618–630. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.09.018

Harrison, K. A., Wright, D. G., & Trembath, P. (2016). Implementation of a workflow for publishing citeable environmental data: successes, challenges and opportunities from a data centre perspective. International Journal on Digital Libraries, 18(2), 133–143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00799-016-0175-5

Collet, L., Harrigan, S., Prudhomme, C., Formetta, G., & Beevers, L. (2018). Future hot-spots for hydro-hazards in Great Britain: a probabilistic assessment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(10), 5387–5401. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5387-2018

House, A.R., Thompson, J.R., & Acreman, M.C. (2016). Projecting impacts of climate change on hydrological conditions and biotic responses in a chalk valley riparian wetland. Journal of Hydrology, 534, 178–192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.01.004

Gosling, R. (2014). Assessing the impact of projected climate change on drought vulnerability in Scotland. In Hydrology Research (Vol. 45, Issue 6, pp. 806–816). IWA Publishing. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2014.148

Wade, S.D., Rance, J., & Reynard, N. (2012). The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012: Assessing the Impacts on Water Resources to Inform Policy Makers. In Water Resources Management (Vol. 27, Issue 4, pp. 1085–1109). Springer Science and Business Media LLC. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-012-0205-z

Smith, K.A., Barker, L.J., Tanguy, M., Parry, S., Harrigan, S., Legg, T.P., Prudhomme, C., & Hannaford, J. (2019). A multi-objective ensemble approach to hydrological modelling in the UK: an application to historic drought reconstruction. In Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (Vol. 23, Issue 8, pp. 3247–3268). Copernicus GmbH. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3247-2019

Correspondence/contact details

Dr Christel Prudhomme

UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology

Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford
OX10 8BB, Wallingford

enquiries@ceh.ac.uk