Future flows hydrology data
(FF-HydMod-PPE)
https://doi.org/10.5285/f3723162-4fed-4d9d-92c6-dd17412fa37b
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Future Flows Hydrology (FF-HydMod-PPE) is an 11-member ensemble projections of river flow and groundwater levels time series for 283 catchments and 24 boreholes in Great Britain. It is derived from Future Flows Climate, an 11-member 1-km bias-corrected and downscaled climate projection products based on the SRES A1B emission scenario. River Flows data are at a daily time step: Groundwater Levels data are at a monthly time step. Future Flows Hydrology span from 1951 to 2098. The development of Future Flows Hydrology was made during the partnership project 'Future Flows and Groundwater Levels' funded by the Environment Agency for England and Wales, Defra, UK Water Research Industry, NERC (Centre for Ecology & Hydrology and British Geological Survey) and Wallingford HydroSolutions.
Publication date: 2012-04-01
View numbers valid from 01 June 2023 Download numbers valid from 20 June 2024 (information prior to this was not collected)
Format
Comma-separated values (CSV)
Spatial information
Study area
Spatial representation type
Tabular (text)
Spatial reference system
OSGB 1936 / British National Grid
Temporal information
Temporal extent
1951-01-01 to 2098-12-01
Provenance & quality
An 11-member ensemble of daily river flow and monthly groundwater levels for 283 river catchments and 24 boreholes across Great Britain simulated in March 2012. Future Flows Hydrology time series are generated using conceptual hydrological models driven by Future Flows Climate and span the period 1951-2098. Each ensemble set contains 11 members all equally likely that together accounts for climate variability, climate modelling uncertainty and climate forcing under the SRES A1B emissions scenario. As Future Flows Hydrology datasets are driven by forcing from climate model outputs they do not replicate the historical weather but are possible realisations of river flow and groundwater levels time series. Despite the use of bias-corrected Future Flows Climate as input and local hydrological models Future Flows Hydrology dataset might still contain hydrological and climate modelling errors and cannot be compared directly with gauged values. SC090016/PN5, SC090016/PN6, SC090016/PN7 and SC090016/PN9 project technical notes provide details on the methods used and results.
Licensing and constraints
Licence terms and conditions apply
Cite this dataset as:
Haxton, T.; Crooks, S.; Jackson, C.R.; Barkwith, A.K.A.P.; Kelvin, J.; Williamson, J.; Mackay, J.D.; Wang, L.; Davies, H.; Young, A.; Prudhomme, C. (2012). Future flows hydrology data. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/f3723162-4fed-4d9d-92c6-dd17412fa37b
Related
Citations
Prudhomme,C., Haxton, T., Crooks, S., Jackson, C., Barkwith, A., Williamson, J., Kelvin, J., Mackay, J., Wang, L., Young, A., and Watts, G. (2013). Future Flows Hydrology: and ensemble of a daily river flow and monthly groundwater levels for use for climate change impact assessment across Great Britain. Eath Syst. Sci. Data, 5, 101-107 https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-5-101-2013
Bricker, S. H., Banks, V. J., Galik, G., Tapete, D., & Jones, R. (2017). Accounting for groundwater in future city visions. Land Use Policy, 69, 618–630. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2017.09.018
Harrison, K. A., Wright, D. G., & Trembath, P. (2016). Implementation of a workflow for publishing citeable environmental data: successes, challenges and opportunities from a data centre perspective. International Journal on Digital Libraries, 18(2), 133–143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00799-016-0175-5
Collet, L., Harrigan, S., Prudhomme, C., Formetta, G., & Beevers, L. (2018). Future hot-spots for hydro-hazards in Great Britain: a probabilistic assessment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22(10), 5387–5401. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5387-2018
House, A.R., Thompson, J.R., & Acreman, M.C. (2016). Projecting impacts of climate change on hydrological conditions and biotic responses in a chalk valley riparian wetland. Journal of Hydrology, 534, 178–192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.01.004
Gosling, R. (2014). Assessing the impact of projected climate change on drought vulnerability in Scotland. In Hydrology Research (Vol. 45, Issue 6, pp. 806–816). IWA Publishing. https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2014.148
Wade, S.D., Rance, J., & Reynard, N. (2012). The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2012: Assessing the Impacts on Water Resources to Inform Policy Makers. In Water Resources Management (Vol. 27, Issue 4, pp. 1085–1109). Springer Science and Business Media LLC. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-012-0205-z
Smith, K.A., Barker, L.J., Tanguy, M., Parry, S., Harrigan, S., Legg, T.P., Prudhomme, C., & Hannaford, J. (2019). A multi-objective ensemble approach to hydrological modelling in the UK: an application to historic drought reconstruction. In Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (Vol. 23, Issue 8, pp. 3247–3268). Copernicus GmbH. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3247-2019
Environment Agency (2016). Climate change and eutrophication risk in English rivers. The UK Government. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/climate-change-and-eutrophication-risk-in-english-rivers
Environment Agency (2019). Eutrophication risk in English rivers under climate change. The UK Government. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/eutrophication-risk-in-english-rivers-under-climate-change
Correspondence/contact details
Prudhomme, C.
UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Benson Lane, Crowmarsh Gifford
OX10 8BB, Wallingford
enquiries@ceh.ac.uk
OX10 8BB, Wallingford
Authors
Haxton, T.
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Crooks, S.
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Jackson, C.R.
British Geological Survey
Barkwith, A.K.A.P.
British Geological Survey
Kelvin, J.
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Williamson, J.
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Mackay, J.D.
British Geological Survey
Wang, L.
British Geological Survey
Davies, H.
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Young, A.
Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1722-2497 Other contacts
Custodian
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
info@eidc.ac.uk
Publisher
NERC Environmental Information Data Centre
info@eidc.ac.uk
Originator